Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.570816 10.046342 11.662224 13.558156 15.716459 18.091562 20.897500
2025-12-14 5.874143 7.799439 10.136342 13.157315 16.932145 21.464205 27.284809
2025-12-21 4.319227 6.352704 9.034748 12.776649 17.798574 24.234131 33.021027
2025-12-28 3.618492 5.787949 8.848305 13.384016 19.818644 28.484967 40.873755
2026-01-04 3.052490 5.266305 8.581957 13.763062 21.473101 32.304744 48.396341
2026-01-11 2.546354 4.719377 8.161661 13.809564 22.587259 35.394504 55.081738
2026-01-18 2.149464 4.262649 7.790217 13.844007 23.631191 38.405141 61.815603
2026-01-25 1.766956 3.750777 7.239616 13.496812 24.007160 40.398277 67.131220
2026-02-01 1.461059 3.314549 6.742631 13.154871 24.320791 42.271615 72.339576
2026-02-08 1.184811 2.876987 6.170501 12.595336 24.188430 43.388173 76.390830
2026-02-15 0.975752 2.531648 5.712521 12.170696 24.220668 44.737549 80.858175
2026-02-22 0.881238 2.415430 5.681013 12.529651 25.656356 48.505079 89.499711
2026-03-01 0.784206 2.286128 5.629698 12.896579 27.239217 52.807552 99.625172
2026-03-08 0.645445 2.025621 5.265641 12.607315 27.597257 55.061234 106.529881
2026-03-15 0.527333 1.784853 4.899821 12.258297 27.794129 57.031352 113.072186
2026-03-22 0.484135 1.736772 4.969095 12.847809 29.902183 62.639345 126.436663
2026-03-29 0.433898 1.654564 4.941082 13.214345 31.584447 67.562486 138.856305
2026-04-05 0.375341 1.529674 4.783110 13.259366 32.593190 71.264963 149.244116
2026-04-12 0.324935 1.415234 4.630301 13.292640 33.572417 74.966973 159.840483
2026-04-19 0.269034 1.262720 4.343878 12.957518 33.703623 76.988578 167.344736
2026-04-26 0.222589 1.127044 4.076205 12.627504 33.804343 78.940759 174.812219
2026-05-03 0.178430 0.981817 3.747902 12.087570 33.357336 79.719505 179.997520
2026-05-10 0.145070 0.866346 3.484256 11.677880 33.167086 81.007055 186.255074